Wednesday, June 1, 2011

UKRAINE - The opposition is manifested

With the approach of summer, the fever rises to Kiev, and many people have the feeling that the capital will soon be the scene of major events. Online forums and some NGOs call on citizens to gather to protest against the policies of the authoritarian regime of President Viktor Yanukovych. Are we on the brink of a summer of turmoil, which could turn into large-scale revolution? To believe the experts, Ukraine is closer to a regime change of the type that occurred in Arab countries that do not think Western policymakers.

The discontent is obvious and indeed it seems to be everywhere. According to a survey conducted in March by the Institute Gorchenine Kiev, 45% of Ukrainians have expressed their willingness to manifest. A feeling that is found naturally in the forums and blogs that call tomorrow, May 14, a "Day of Wrath." In the capital, a union has planned a rally May 19 to protest against the tax code and unpopular reforms in the pension industry.

Of course, Ukraine is not the only country where the opposition is trying to take advantage of the "Arab Spring," which has already led to changes of regime in Tunisia and Egypt. In Georgia, for example, opposition groups have called for early May a series of demonstrations in Tbilisi and other cities, due to culminate in a day of civil disobedience, May 21 But the situation in Ukraine has considerably worsened.

The Constitution has been hijacked and raped by the regime with impunity and repeatedly - in particular the extension of twenty-five years of the lease of the base of the Black Sea Russian fleet in Sevastopol. This decision was taken in defiance of the Constitution, which prohibits the presence of foreign military bases on Ukrainian territory.

In the police, corruption is endemic. The security forces of the state, comprising some 40,000 men, serve only to stifle dissent. And the judiciary, controlled by politicians, is neither fair nor independent. Young and middle classes have the feeling of being cut off from the world of politics.

Moreover, according to figures from the World Bank, about 35.5 million people, or 78% of the population, live in relative poverty, surviving on 12.5 million to just over 2 euros per day. As for foreign policy, they rarely been so blurred. One day she is pro-European, the day after pro-Russian.

In reality, it depends on what suits the oligarchy. That is to say, right now, the status quo. Added to this mix the explosive increase of 50% of heating bills, the inflationary pressure, delaying the retirement age, rampant corruption, suppression of civil liberties (eg freedom of the press and freedom of assembly ), and it is not difficult to understand why analysts believe that Ukraine is a powder keg waiting for a spark.

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