After the events of March 25 and 26, we can say that the regime of Bashar Assad is facing an unprecedented popular uprising, "says Ammar Abdulhamid, Syrian installed between the United States. "The discontent has snowballed." For now, avoid the protesters demand the departure of President Assad, but protests are gaining momentum, fueled by a cycle of violence and ill will from the Syrian government.
President Assad now faces a difficult choice: reform or repress. But for now, the hesitation waltz of Syrian President suggesting that his government is strongly divided on how to behave. "It seems that President Assad's advisors want him to take two opposite ways: Reconciliation and Punishment" ahead Murhaf Jouejati, Syrian professor at George Washington University.
"This shows that power is not entirely concentrated in the hands of the president. Forces at blame him his weakness. "While some critics are convinced that negotiations are not possible, some political scientists believe that two paths open to the Syrian government and the country saw a historic moment.
"The president should ease the situation by going directly to the Syrians and must regain their confidence by ending the propaganda and show that it is listening to them," said Ayman Abdel Nour, a Syrian dissident webmaster All4Syria. "He must announce significant changes." As a government reshuffle, the end of the emergency, postponement of parliamentary elections scheduled for May for a revision of the Constitution and promise to launch an investigation Independent on violence against demonstrators.
The alternative, according to the International Crisis Group, based in Brussels, is the escalation of repression, "in all probability lead to a bloodbath despicable." Remains whether these two solutions will be able to put an end to the dispute. "Access to applications for change is twofold.
There is a risk of escalation, "said Abdel Nour. But before the rise of discontent is the only viable option. "Promises made by the Government March 23 to try to prevent demonstrations on Friday, already heard, were deemed insufficient. They included the creation of a commission to study the possibility of the end of emergency rule and drafting new laws on political parties and a wage increase for civil servants.
Discontent peaked when the government tried to blame the uprising on foreign elements [Palestinian and Lebanese] and armed gangs. Since Saturday, this propaganda has taken a more sinister twist, the government is now accusing certain minorities. "The government was right to present his condolences to victims' families to release children and graffiti writers [anti-government]," says Dr.
. Jouejati. But the more the authorities talk of conspiracy, they are less credible. And the more they use force, the more they feed the rebellion. "Damascus has been isolated internationally after the assassination in 2005 of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, blamed on Syria but Damascus has consistently denied.
These last four years, however, the country is back on the international stage. And the U.S. ambassador Robert Ford took office in Damascus in February. Last Friday, the U.S. condemned "the will of the Syrian government to suppress and intimidate the demonstrators." Syria is already under sanctions from Washington and no one knows whether other measures will be enacted.
While many Western governments are wary of President Assad, they fear the dangerous instability that could settle in the area when the regime fell. "Many governments hope the disappearance of a government that backed the armed Iran and Hamas and Hezbollah," acknowledges a Damascene political expert who prefers to remain anonymous for fear of reprisals.
"But the post-Assad remains a big question mark." 
President Assad now faces a difficult choice: reform or repress. But for now, the hesitation waltz of Syrian President suggesting that his government is strongly divided on how to behave. "It seems that President Assad's advisors want him to take two opposite ways: Reconciliation and Punishment" ahead Murhaf Jouejati, Syrian professor at George Washington University.
"This shows that power is not entirely concentrated in the hands of the president. Forces at blame him his weakness. "While some critics are convinced that negotiations are not possible, some political scientists believe that two paths open to the Syrian government and the country saw a historic moment.
"The president should ease the situation by going directly to the Syrians and must regain their confidence by ending the propaganda and show that it is listening to them," said Ayman Abdel Nour, a Syrian dissident webmaster All4Syria. "He must announce significant changes." As a government reshuffle, the end of the emergency, postponement of parliamentary elections scheduled for May for a revision of the Constitution and promise to launch an investigation Independent on violence against demonstrators.
The alternative, according to the International Crisis Group, based in Brussels, is the escalation of repression, "in all probability lead to a bloodbath despicable." Remains whether these two solutions will be able to put an end to the dispute. "Access to applications for change is twofold.
There is a risk of escalation, "said Abdel Nour. But before the rise of discontent is the only viable option. "Promises made by the Government March 23 to try to prevent demonstrations on Friday, already heard, were deemed insufficient. They included the creation of a commission to study the possibility of the end of emergency rule and drafting new laws on political parties and a wage increase for civil servants.
Discontent peaked when the government tried to blame the uprising on foreign elements [Palestinian and Lebanese] and armed gangs. Since Saturday, this propaganda has taken a more sinister twist, the government is now accusing certain minorities. "The government was right to present his condolences to victims' families to release children and graffiti writers [anti-government]," says Dr.
. Jouejati. But the more the authorities talk of conspiracy, they are less credible. And the more they use force, the more they feed the rebellion. "Damascus has been isolated internationally after the assassination in 2005 of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, blamed on Syria but Damascus has consistently denied.
These last four years, however, the country is back on the international stage. And the U.S. ambassador Robert Ford took office in Damascus in February. Last Friday, the U.S. condemned "the will of the Syrian government to suppress and intimidate the demonstrators." Syria is already under sanctions from Washington and no one knows whether other measures will be enacted.
While many Western governments are wary of President Assad, they fear the dangerous instability that could settle in the area when the regime fell. "Many governments hope the disappearance of a government that backed the armed Iran and Hamas and Hezbollah," acknowledges a Damascene political expert who prefers to remain anonymous for fear of reprisals.
"But the post-Assad remains a big question mark."
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