Monday, March 28, 2011

COTE D'IVOIRE - The hardest part begins for Ouattara

The panel of African Union delivered its verdict Thursday, March 10: Alassane Ouattara is recognized president of Ivory Coast. Meeting in Addis Ababa in Ethiopia, the AU Peace and Security Council (PSC) of the African Union (AU) has endorsed the panel's conclusions, the result of over a month evaluating the Ivorian electoral process.

For Alassane Ouattara, is a resounding diplomatic victory, especially since nothing seemed a foregone conclusion. It's still a happy man to have been anointed by his peers as President Ouattara plain his eagerness to take office as soon as possible. "The measures being announced are binding.

Very quickly, Laurent Gbagbo will have to leave usurped the functions he has held since November 28 (2010). "But things are not so simple. The Chairman recognized by the AU could be very difficult to exercise effective power. We had to do back to the capital after his stay in Addis Ababa.

Ouattara is a challenge to face in returning last Saturday, in his "palace" of the Hotel du Golf. Yet, returning home was deemed "complicated" by the UN Operation in Côte d'Ivoire (UNOCI). Certainly with regard to the prohibition of overflights by Ivorian planes UNOCI and French forces from Operation Licorne.

The day before the meeting in Addis Ababa, where Ouattara was expected, the Gbagbo government had decided to ban the parade, which will deliver almost daily helicopters and other aircraft of UNOCI and Licorne in Côte d'Ivoire sky. Many have then quickly concluded that this measure had no other purpose than to close the doors of the Hotel du Golf [seat of government since the election of Ouattara, 28 November] to the president dubbed by the AU.

Indeed, it is using helicopters of the impartial forces as "prisoners" Golf évadent it from time to time to get to an airport other than Abidjan, where they leave the country. That's the way that Ouattara was found in Addis Ababa. With the measurement taken just after his departure from Abidjan, he returned to the capital appeared to be compromised.

At last, he managed to overcome that first hurdle on the path that leads to the palace of Plateau [the presidential palace in Abidjan]. But that's not all. Now we need to Ouattara take up residence in the Plateau, still under control of its rival. A Bastille Day looming epic! For many observers, the president recognized by the AU does not settle for "palace" of Golf on his return from Addis Ababa and he wants even less to settle Bouake [town in northern Côte d Ivory, a stronghold of pro-Ouattara].

Crowned with a continental-wide recognition, Ouattara would love his costume inaugurate president "certified AU" boulevard to the palace of Angoulvant. It fit better with his status as president of the Republic of Côte d'Ivoire. It must reckon with the resistance camp Gbagbo, who was quick to spit on the "restrictive measures" taken by the African Union at the end of the meeting in Addis Ababa.

Laurent Gbagbo, who believes that the elected president, could maintain its position, even radical. Having committed his family and the Defence Forces and Security (SDS) in this case with an uncertain outcome, it remains unlikely that the loose piece. Alone against all, it is now in the position of a hunted animal.

To save his chair, he will probably throw all his forces into battle. The Young Patriots and the military forces still loyal to him might be tough to Ouattara. The battle for the effective occupation of the coveted Chair promises to be titanic. Witness the great offensive launched by forces loyal to Gbagbo against the positions of the famous commando invisible Abobo [industry Abidjan faithful to Ouattara].

The Chairman recognized by the AU has the means to break this resistance? It is here that the eyes will turn to the African Union. How does it help Ouattara settle the palace so that he actually exercises power, as the AU itself had stressed at the summit of 30 January (Addis Ababa) in deciding on the implementation off the panel? Will she leave the camp complacently Ouattara Gbagbo keep away from the palace of the tray and prevent it from having a real grip on the levers of state? It's definitely on its ability to implement "coercive measures" adopted at the recent meeting of the SPC that will be considered AU.

In any event, the camp Ouattara expected to give itself the means to translate into action its push for the president elected recognized by Africa holds the real power in Cote d'Ivoire.

No comments:

Post a Comment