Tuesday, April 26, 2011

COTE D'IVOIRE - I smell a rat for Gbagbo

Côte d'Ivoire, things went at breakneck speed in recent hours. And obviously, we approach the end of a certain world: the very illegal Laurent Gbagbo certainly saw his last hours at the controls of this country, quite illegally since it governs the election results of November 28 who dedicated the victory his rival, Alassane Ouattara.

Too bad for him and good for everyone. But we can not help but say, man is a badass. And on reflection, you find yourself thinking that the troops of Alassane Ouattara, had they been committed solely to the task, would have been hard to dislodge the incumbent. At most, and assuming that the Republican Forces of Côte d'Ivoire (FRCI, pro-Ouattara) were able to overcome it, it would have taken at least they make the bitter experience of a victory Pyrrhus.

We're not there, but noted that it took the intervention of the Licorne and UNOCI to decide Gbagbo, rebel, to think a little bit to surrender. The man then finally resolves to consider the possibility of his departure. And then everything is set in motion to this effect: that his foreign minister who went to the Embassy of France to "negotiate" the famous surrender of his mentor.

It is also close to the generals who call the outgoing president of UNOCI representative to kindly receive the weapons of the combatants on the label "Gbagbo." This is also the Chief of Staff of the Army of Gbagbo, who said that men he commands the fighting stopped since 10:30 Tuesday morning.

It will be understood, the Gbagbo camp hoists the white flag. And we do not even bother with the usual circumlocution to describe the capitulation. The carrots are cooked, the case is heard, must now follow the logic of the vanquished, which comes necessarily so in the dynamics of the winners.

But obviously, this should not happen like clockwork. France, for example, requires a signed document from the hand of the outgoing president, who bluntly reflects its renunciation of power and explicitly recognize the victory of the most stubborn enemies of Alassane Ouattara. Why require such a document? Laurent Gbagbo knows Paris better than anyone.

The man has earned a reputation as a political fox, and in any case, understandably, two precautions are always better. One would have imagined that the man, to the point where it is made, sign the document without blinking. And that, perhaps, he would, a face in the corner, but would do it anyway: when you have lost everything and sought to save his head, there are concessions that are s requires him to do.

But again, Gbagbo surprising: even militarily defeated, he refuses to recognize the victory of his eternal rival. Yet today, Gbagbo is no longer master of his own day. And that is what drives him to ask what are the so-called strong pompously "negotiations" underway. The word is probably to save face, but deep down, in this case, it does not really mean much.

What force has a loser in trading? We understand the anxiety, the fear of Laurent Gbagbo at the moment. It looks absolutely double security: the law which grants immunity to a much needed, and the other physical, who put away a witch hunt, guarantees him alive, to him, his family and probably also among his closest relatives.

But at the very limit, it must be content with what they find good for him. Nothing more. A well-biting irony of fate that proved relentless a man who will be revealed cynical, derisive, mocking, and now finds himself trapped in a vicious circle of a practice he has adored yet time splendor.

A man who has spurned all outputs honorable to be resolved, in extremis, to take the one that will require it to take, head down and tail between legs. At the time of publication these lines, the question was not whether Gbagbo away, but rather to know how the man would release the wee hours.

Sad end for a mere human who will come up with a divine destiny to the point of making hermetic any supplication. Remains to be seen what will happen to him and all his followers who remain resolutely deaf to the voice of reason and who are now required to store, they are forced to undergo the hard law to recognize an enemy stronger than themselves.

Beyond their individual concerns, it is the whole human community that grows finally a "sigh" of relief. Because this crisis beyond the Ivorians will be sub-divided West African region, the African Union and even the international community as a whole. And it is this that we must think of a Cote d'Ivoire where new priorities are both plural and gigantic.

It must now be reconciled with the Ivorians themselves, fill the abyss of hatred, mistrust and fear while hoping that these horrors that come to impose their recent history turns into a catharsis which constitutes a safeguard providential against possible future wanderings. What will Ouattara of victory? The incoming president inherits a country in chaos that must have the magic to transform a nation into the future full of promise.

And if, now, he does not see very well how to do it, at least he has the immense advantage of knowing perfectly what he should not do. For the rest, it will take probably with patriotism and wisdom of the Ivorians. Fingers crossed for him they do not default.

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