Monday, April 25, 2011

Bashar Assad, in the name of the Father

"Control Syria from his grave," he confessed in a Baath party meeting Syrian President Bashar Assad allude to his father and predecessor, Hafez Assad. The old fox had everything so well tied up and controlled who knew what they were saying about him in the Mosque of Hama, in the port of Latakia or in the fields near Deraa.

And if the views were critical of the regime are silenced silently. They have never missed confident in the regime of fear. There is no shortage now, but unlike the past, has gone a vital element: the fear to protest, speak out and demonstrate. Bashar The student has not reached the levels of cruelty and intelligence of the teacher Hafez but in the last month trying to show he has learned the lesson well: military siege of two cities, such as night raids this morning in a suburb of Damascus, infiltrate demonstrations, shoot to kill protesters and attending funerals, torture, censorship of information, etc.

.. These days of popular uprisings and bloody repressions, the young Assad should be asked to make his powerful father. The massacre of Hama (between 20,000 and 30,000 dead after Assad's order in 82 to crush the Islamist armed uprising) is practically impossible to repeat. The times, circumstances and opponents differ, the most watched foreign media and world leaders have had enough of the man in Damascus that miraculously always win the election with 98% of the vote.

And there's Internet, damn invention for dictators. The old Lion of Damascus had not allowed for the current situation, an impasse with blood. Or maybe yes, since not even the old fox had been able to stop the wave of riots that swept the region, taking with her dinosaurs as powerful as Hosni Mubarak.

Condemned by the international community after the death of about 120 people in 48 hours and deafened by the roar of the civil protest against the dictatorship of Bashar Assad now regrets having rejected the proposal by Syrian deputy Sayad Abad Al Karim. This suggested, before the outbreak of the riots, the creation of a parliamentary commission to eliminate some of the emergency laws.

Parliament, a toy president, voted against an absolute majority (as is usually 48 years). Now, Assad was forced to rescind these laws in a desperate attempt to quell the revolution. Result: it has lost its state of emergency and has not prevented most massive protests since July 2000 was named president after the death of his father.

Since then, Assad has fought the image of "indecisive and rather weak" to his family and especially to the old guard misses Asad father and regrets the accident that in 94 years killed the natural heir more prepared to be a dictator, Basel Assad. In Israel, his hated enemy, imitate satire programs as a leader afraid of his shadow and puppet leader of the Shiite group Hezbollah, Sheik Hassan Nasrallah and his friend, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinayad.

While it is true that in the early stages of its mandate did not move or say anything without the permission of his foreign minister, Farouk Shara and other veterans, after a few years achieved a certain autonomy. Believed she was invincible after the powerful alliance with Iran and with arms and money to sponsor Hezbollah and the Palestinian Hamas, but did not understand that his people also want to work, hates corruption and contemplated by Al Jazeera how young Egyptians and Tunisians took to the streets and cast to their respective leaders.

In its tenth anniversary in power, Assad felt safe. The best proof that he was 'on track' was the criticism from human rights organizations. "No matter what Asad has been submitted as a reformer, which has been blocked by the old guard or just be another Arab ruler but turns a deaf ear to criticism.

The result for the people of Syria is the same: no freedom and no rights. After ten years, Asad history is this: it has done virtually nothing to improve the state of human rights in the country, "he said Middle East director of 'Human Rights Watch, Sarah Leah Whitson. Aspirant in the early of 90 to conduct a clinical ophthalmology in London took office promising reform and the Internet.

promoted the so-called "Damascus Spring", a popular laboratory demanding pluralism and reform. It was soon clear it, lest you end up with his absolute control, the Alawite elite and the Assad dynasty. Unlike Mubarak, his fall will be accompanied by a lot of bloodshed. The Egyptian rais but his regime was continued.

If Assad is gone, the system goes with him less than their brothers, cousins or friends make a coup with the complicity of some of the most important Sunni officers. Persona 'non grata' in the Bush administration, Asad was slowly being rehabilitated in the eyes of President Barack Obama.

But with a detail . It is true that Obama has strongly condemned the suppression of this weekend targeting Iranian help to do so. Ahmadinejad took an outstanding bloodily repress the Iranian youth who demanded democracy. But Obama has demanded that will be as if and made very quickly with Mubarak, who was an ally of Washington.

With Asad, there are many sentences but ironically more conciliatory treatment. The forecast for the next few days: Asad continue to repress the demonstrators with a vengeance and a lot of fire but at the same time try to reconcile them with more political posturing.

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