Tuesday, March 22, 2011

COTE D'IVOIRE - What could save the country

In Abidjan and in the rest of the country, soldiers and loyalist forces of the New Forces are now separated by a barrier of fire, much to the misery of a people caught between the hammer and the anvil. Sometimes strikes indiscriminately even where unarmed women are targeted with heavy weapons as was the case last Thursday in Abobo.

Slow descent into hell, as if that Cote d'Ivoire plunged into the abyss over the past two years trying to touch the bottom to rebound. But that deal with such a tragedy that could lead to a sub-region into the abyss? Nobody, not even the panelists AU pretend to believe in their own diplomatic posturing, is not no illusions about a negotiated outcome.

Both sides have gone so far that none can truly turn back without risking a form of political suicide. On the one hand, Laurent Gbagbo Kudu is determined to drink to the dregs the cup of electoral hold-up and was always ready to hang, though he will leave his skin on the other, we see Alassane Ouattara ill become the Morgan Tsvangirai or the Ivorian leader Raila Odinga, or even accept a vice-president to cut his tailored to the needs of the case.

So here he is while he is democratically elected, a prisoner at the Golf Hotel where chomping at the bit, waiting for a hypothetical "surgery" (the phrase is his) which would remove Gbagbo to install it. Diplomatic sources, the different scenarios of such a military intervention would be ready and the Joint Chiefs of Staff of ECOWAS would wait more than the political green light to descend on Abidjan.

One of the plans, the most preferred is said, would be to take the capital in economic vise from North and South after exfiltrated before the dignitaries of the Republic of Golf. North side, troops from Burkina Faso and other countries such as Senegal, reinforced by the FAFN melt on the pearl of the lagoons from Bouake.

In the South, the task would be for the Nigerian contingent backed by U.S. special forces commando which would remove the president. Do not laugh, this is serious even if it looks like the synopsis of a film of action and suspense as "24". More seriously, "all this is paper" it looks just like in Abidjan and the reality on the ground can be a death trap for the attackers.

For still, the other, one imagines, did not sleep until they come to pick them like lambs of sacrifice. In fact, the writers, directors and producers of this "Apocalypse Now" on the lagoon are well aware that this is not a foregone conclusion and that at least the human cost would be too heavy.

ADO itself is willing to bear? It is, moreover, not a coincidence that after playing the biceps during the first weeks following the constitutional coup, some supporters of the military option, and that thought scare Gbagbo (it was badly know), have gradually disengaged to avoid being safer today want to go into the trenches.

What we will see below can be a stumbling block to right-thinking minds, but in truth, the solution to the Ivorian problem may lie also in what might be called a coup democratic (or savior, c ' is the way you want). But not to install ADO on a throne which could have landed Gbagbo. It should rather refer back to back because even if the Hollywood script of ECOWAS runs perfectly, once inducted ADO can he govern in peace? This is doubtful.

We must therefore sweep away all these chiefs for two decades that pollute the Ivorian political backwater. Henri Konan Bedie, who is largely responsible for the disaster being foreclosed, it must also be given early retirement with two adorable enemies: the historical opponent who fought hard to achieve his purposes and does not leave the scene tiptoe, and "abroad" as the old, dying, had called to milk the cows, who then started counting the calves and hears from a shepherd.

He won the presidential election? He was democratically elected? Indisputable, but it will not be the first time a candidate is unfairly cheated of his victory and will mourn its ambitions "to save the country. Just ask Dallen Cellou Diallo, Gilchrist Olympio or Andre Mba Obame [ Unsuccessful candidates in Guinea, Togo and Gabon].

Neither Gbagbo nor ADO. A "good" coup, is perhaps the workaround to the use of "legitimate force" to which many people believe, not daring the confess. There was a time, usually three times starry Mangou could have played the role of savior coup, but he ate his white bread first as it must be now one of the most watched of 'Eburnie.

But there is no reason that the havoc if allowed to continue, so a captain's rank to get everyone to agree, unless it is Gbagbo himself who put in fake his own dismissal when situation will be even more untenable than it already is. Outrageous? Maybe, but have in mind the best interests of Ivory Coast and the danger that the short-West Africa, and let's not be hypocritical.

Who does not applaud a year ago when, in Niger, the commander overthrew Djibo Tandja who wanted to play extra time with the anointing of a referendum remote? This consensus coup in the country of Houphouet would, in many ways, the modern equivalent of the dictator that the Greeks chose freely in case of serious danger even threatening the very foundations of the city (epidemic, civil strife, foreign aggression, etc.

.). If those who have "invented" democracy of several millennia ago that have previously had a stroke of genius temporarily waive their rights to save the common home, why today the Ivorians could not be guided by allowing two five years at an "enlightened dictator" to mend the social fabric, dressing wounds and bruises heal, renew the same time political staff before dreaming of a peaceful election whose results are accepted by all? Robert Guei, General santa who came December 24, 1999, called by the "young people," rid the country of Houphouet-Boigny of the vagaries of the Sphinx Daoukro (former President Henri Konan Bedie) had with him circumstances and the moral authority to be the "dictator".

Alas, we know what happened to it, but this land of hospitality can not be run out of messiah to save it.

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