Saturday, April 9, 2011

Ollanta Humala, a favorite in Peru after moderating its position on the left

Lima / Arequipa (Editorial) - The presidential election on Sunday could be the closest in the history of Peru, as no candidate has a chance of winning on the first ballot and three were fighting to go to a runoff with the favorite, at the end of the campaign on Thursday, reports Reuters. The nationalist Ollanta Humala, a retired military officer who has moderated his radical left-wing discourse, leads the voting intentions, but analysts say that is not carefully written the last word, especially in a country where voters can change their decision at the last minute .

Humala, 48, has excelled in recent days in the polls to between 28 percent and 29 percent of voting intentions, but it is far more than 50 percent to avoid a second round on 5 June. Potential rivals, considered friendly free market are the legislator Keiko Fujimori, with 21.5 percent, and former Economy Minister Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, with between 18.4 percent and 19.3 percent, according to last two surveys obtained Thursday by Reuters sources.

In the Ipsos Apoyo polling and market research company (ICC), former President Alejandro Toledo is located with between 18.2 percent and 15 percent of voting intentions. The stage for a second round is so uncertain that analysts handle many options and will wait to vote on Sunday to assess the second stage.

So far, polls, Humala would be hard pressed to win any of their possible opponents. The retired officer has promised to end the frustration of many in Peru, whose economy grows at faster rates in the world but where poverty hits 10 million to 29 million inhabitants. For this election, Humala has distanced himself from his political mentor, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, one of the greatest leaders of the Left in Latin America.

His support in the 2006 election cost him, analysts say, its defeat by President Alan Garcia. Now, Humala has adopted the style of former moderate leftist Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who was the most popular president in the region, and until he has surrounded Brazilian advisers to his campaign.

Toledo called to defend democracy Shortly after meeting the polls, Toledo, who earlier this year led the polls, the candidates invoked Kuczynski and former Lima mayor Luis Castañeda - who has dropped strong preferences - to a meeting " defend "democracy to stop Humala options and Fujimori.

You have to "preserve democratic values, we are not for experiments, but we do not want to go back in the 90 with corruption, crime, the violation of human rights," said Toledo. Following the appeal of Toledo, Kuczynski said he agreed with the union of the parties, but after Sunday, "in the second round, not three days earlier.

That's a trick." For several days, Toledo, Kuczynski and Castaneda talked about the possibility of the resignation of one of them the process to meet together to Humala. The Nationalist candidate ended his presidential campaign in the southern city of Arequipa, where a protest against a mining project of 1,000 million dollars left at least two dead and fifty wounded.

"Our message is one of unity and peace, Peruvians and Peruvians must go to vote without fear," said Humala. Keiko Fujimori, daughter of former president Alberto Fujimori, closed his campaign praising his father in prison for human rights abuses and loved by some to defeat the guerrillas and stabilize the economy.

"Playing to the DINOES (prison where his father), the applause for the Chinese," Keiko shouted at a rally. Since Humala rose in the polls, local financial markets as the Lima stock exchange and local currency has weakened, but this week regained some ground amid investor caution.

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