Monday, February 21, 2011

Debacle of Merkel's CDU in Hamburg after ten years in power

The Merkel's Christian Democratic Union, CDU, Hamburg has ruled in the past 10 years. Until now. The provisional final count of the parliamentary elections in the city-state landslide victory confirms the Social Democratic (SPD) and the heavy loss of votes of the hitherto ruling Christian Democratic Union (CDU).

100% of counted votes, the Statistical Office of Hamburg and Schleswig-Holstein reported that the SPD reached 48.3% of votes, 14.2 percent more than in the elections held three years ago. For its part, the CDU who heads the Federal Chancellor, Angela Merkel, won 21.9% of votes, more than 20% less than in previous elections and the worst performance in Hamburg since the Second World War.

In the regional chamber will be equally represented green alter List (GAL), which totaled 11.2 percent of votes, and the formation of the Left, with 6.4 percent of votes. The Liberal Party (FDP), did not obtain representation in the Senate of Hamburg in 2008 and 2004 elections, has managed to return to that chamber with 6.6 percent of the vote and for the first time since 1993, has seats in Germany's 16 regional parliaments.

The coalition led by Merkel in Berlin, formed by the CDU, the Christian Social Union (CSU) of Bavaria and the FDP, loses more support in the Bundesrat, the upper house or Land, where the opposition has a majority now set. A further consequence is that Merkel detrimental to the outcome of this vote can make the Rosary regional elections that will happen this year, the first of which is influenced most directly and that of Baden-Württemberg, on 27 March.

Behind this reversal is Olaf Scholz, the candidate of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), who has played with the left a long game that has been growing in the exercise of the opposition and, if Hamburg for the SPD reconquista, shine no doubt as a new social democratic hope the forthcoming general, for which the party has not yet defined a face to offer German voters.

Elections in Hamburg were advanced after the breakup of the coalition that kept the city-state in the CDU and the Greens, which the survey ranks third with an intention to vote of 14.5% compared to 9.6 % in 2008. Equally important is the result that the formation of the Left would according to the same survey, 6% (6.4% in 2008), in conflict with the scaling 5% of the liberals (FDP), which may be excluded from the regional chamber , as in the previous elections, when, with 4.8%, did not reach the minimum necessary for parliamentary representation.

Foreign Minister and leader of the Liberals questioned, Guido Westerwelle, is playing in Hamburg a very particular battle by his stay in the presidency of the party. And for free it has given rise to a star, Katja Suding, 35, candidate called 'the face of the FDP sexy' and that is intended to overcome the tendency that leads to the Liberals to the brink opinion poll.

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