The American journalist Robert D. Kaplan published in 1994 a book that should have on hand these days. It is titled The Coming Anarchy (Ediciones B, 2000) and contains a thorough list of the imbalances in the world after the implosion of the Soviet bloc. Kaplan is an expert in international politics who has worked with leading U.S.
journals. It is a harsh realist. Acute powers of observation in the field (the author of two excellent books on the Balkans and Central Asia), good knowledge of history, economics and geography, deft handling of the demographic tables, and few ideological preconceptions in the backpack.
Kaplan is the anti-Fukuyama. Far from predicting the end of the story, says in the early nineties the U.S. victory over communism is the same acceleration toward anarchy. A world without principal contradiction is in the hands of the nerve secondary contradictions: 1) diffuse structure of terrorist groups willing to make large-scale attacks, 2) countries out of control that seek to possess nuclear weapons to blackmail the new order, 3) virtual disappearance of the state in some parts of the world (as happened in Somalia), 4) displacement of some of the old national units (Kaplan even rupture risk alert in the U.S.) and 5) male pop in northern Africa .
Kaplan shows in this last point a cold fatalism. The demographic tables speak for themselves: over half the population of African crescent will for some time less than thirty years. And at that age men without jobs and without prospects can not suppress the anger. North Africa, "he concludes, is a powder keg that could explode.
That time has arrived, with a double wishbone: the story of the world satellite television broadcast based on the rich Gulf and horizontal communication possibilities offered by social networks, When The Coming Anarchy was published in the United States channel Al-Jazeera had not yet been established in the Emirate of Qatar and the first Internet web page was only four years.
A highly recommended book. The icy Kaplan is a healthy counterpoint to the fumes of some wise great men of the generation of 68-teen-ever generation, already dreaming of a world revolution chained by social networks. May God keep them in sight. Should not be too keen to glimpse that Libya is not going to implement-either now or never, the Democratic Republic of Facebook.
Not in Egypt or Tunisia, or Morocco ... The fight for control of the largest Mediterranean oil bourse has just begun and promises to be outrageous. The best exercise that an adult can do these days is open serenely page atlas of Europe. Below, the North African brazier; above, Carolingian, the European Directory Germanic discipline and in the center, going south, the Iberian Peninsula and the Spanish March.
We need to open the atlas and recite out loud, the more pertinent question today: Where are we? 
journals. It is a harsh realist. Acute powers of observation in the field (the author of two excellent books on the Balkans and Central Asia), good knowledge of history, economics and geography, deft handling of the demographic tables, and few ideological preconceptions in the backpack.
Kaplan is the anti-Fukuyama. Far from predicting the end of the story, says in the early nineties the U.S. victory over communism is the same acceleration toward anarchy. A world without principal contradiction is in the hands of the nerve secondary contradictions: 1) diffuse structure of terrorist groups willing to make large-scale attacks, 2) countries out of control that seek to possess nuclear weapons to blackmail the new order, 3) virtual disappearance of the state in some parts of the world (as happened in Somalia), 4) displacement of some of the old national units (Kaplan even rupture risk alert in the U.S.) and 5) male pop in northern Africa .
Kaplan shows in this last point a cold fatalism. The demographic tables speak for themselves: over half the population of African crescent will for some time less than thirty years. And at that age men without jobs and without prospects can not suppress the anger. North Africa, "he concludes, is a powder keg that could explode.
That time has arrived, with a double wishbone: the story of the world satellite television broadcast based on the rich Gulf and horizontal communication possibilities offered by social networks, When The Coming Anarchy was published in the United States channel Al-Jazeera had not yet been established in the Emirate of Qatar and the first Internet web page was only four years.
A highly recommended book. The icy Kaplan is a healthy counterpoint to the fumes of some wise great men of the generation of 68-teen-ever generation, already dreaming of a world revolution chained by social networks. May God keep them in sight. Should not be too keen to glimpse that Libya is not going to implement-either now or never, the Democratic Republic of Facebook.
Not in Egypt or Tunisia, or Morocco ... The fight for control of the largest Mediterranean oil bourse has just begun and promises to be outrageous. The best exercise that an adult can do these days is open serenely page atlas of Europe. Below, the North African brazier; above, Carolingian, the European Directory Germanic discipline and in the center, going south, the Iberian Peninsula and the Spanish March.
We need to open the atlas and recite out loud, the more pertinent question today: Where are we?
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