Tuesday, March 1, 2011

Plan B: to support monarchy

After watching blow in less than a month's foreign policy in the countries of North Africa and the Middle East, the U.S. has adopted a plan B: to support the monarch, dropping to others. According to The New York Times, the State Department has sent envoys to all the monarchs of the region, from Morocco to the Gulf kingdoms, via Jordan, to guarantee their support.

Meanwhile, chastened after seeing his old allies fall Ben Ali and Hosni Mubarak, maintains a large distance to the "autocratic presidents" in republics such as Yemen, Libya and Algeria. This bet AdministraciónObama by Arabs absolute monarchies lies behind the words of support to the Arab revolution, says the Times.

And while King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia is the number one ally in the new regional power configuration, EE. UU. care as well never aMohamed VI of Morocco. After its unconditional support for George W. Bush on the war on terror waged after the 11-S, the Moroccan king has met expectations to assimilate American protest on February 20 without allowing a serious destabilization.

"Mohamed is doing a pretty good job, we see no dramatic degree of dissatisfaction", U.S. diplomatic sources said in Rabat in the days before the 20-F. After a day of protests generally moderate left 37,000 people across the country, according to government data, this assessment of the embassy seems to be confirmed.

The riots in the Arab republics have reinforced the sense in Washington that the monarchs are much more stable. A monarch can drop the government not lie to himself, "said an analyst with the Brookings Institution, next to Obama, the Times said. In Morocco, where only 20% vote of citizens on the low legitimacy of parties, "the institution of monarchy is respected and can deflect criticism from the king to the government," the sources said the embassy in Rabat.

King heads the Council of Ministers, appoints the prime minister and has the last word on each bill, a trick of monarchical power that has impressed the gurus of U.S. foreign policy. UU. It also helps the divine status of Mohamed VI, the monarch is also the Amir al Muminin (Commander of the Faithful), number one of the religious hierarchy.

According to several sources, magnets of thousands of mosques agreed to pressure the king to launch a reassuring message in his sermons to counteract the images of the Egyptian revolution transmitted by Al Jazeera. In a surprising interview, a financial analyst at rating agency Fitch debt in London, included among the factors that had decided to maintain the credit rating downgrade of Morocco after the Tunis that "the king for many people is a direct descendant of the prophet Muhammad.

" But a growing feeling that this dual role of the king may be questioned whether Mohamed continues to expand its third major role in the XXI century Morocco: the first employer in the country, since it controls 80% of the economy. The real holding ONA-SNI business covers the full range.

Finance and insurance through its shareholdings in the bank and insurer Attijariwafa Asurance Wafa; telecommunications operator Wana, Managem mining industry, energy monopolies NAREV and feed intake and Lesieur, among many others. According Abubakr Jamai, former director of critical newspaper Le Journal, based in Spain, there are doubts in some quarters of the Moroccan elite over whether the king's business interests and their investments no sound in casinos in Macao and a Moroccan beer can undermine his bid to be king and prophet over corruption.

Moreover, it is not clear that Morocco is the best model if as claimed by The New York Times, Department of State "there is a clear hope that the Arab monarchies move towards constitutional monarchies." The reforms initiated ten years ago following the death of Hasan II are paralyzed, the main cause of the protests last day of February 20.

A third problem for the king, and is recognized by U.S. diplomats. UU. The banned Islamist party Adl Wal Ihssane (Justice and Spirituality), political organization with more supporters in the country, does not recognize the king as commander of the faithful. Although not go en masse on 20 February, supported the call.

And EE. UU. knows that even the king would be difficult to deal with a movement for full democracy to mobilize Adl Wal Ihssane.

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