Wednesday, March 9, 2011

COTE D'IVOIRE - The African Union absent subscribers

We will have to take his misfortune patiently. The resolution that we were entitled to expect the Panel of Heads of State on Côte d'Ivoire is referred to later. The Council for Peace and Security of the African Union (AU) has granted a grace period of one month from this group of high level. What he has not done in a month, the panel will succeed there after the new term? Reasonably, this is doubtful.

What proves that this panel, which has publicly exposed the divisions within it, will be able to do violence on himself to make "binding decisions" against one of the two protagonists in the Ivorian crisis? President Compaore, to obloquy by Gbagbo's supporters, because the goalkeeper position of ECOWAS (Economic Community of West African States Western), which calls for military intervention as the ultimate solution to respect the verdict of ballot boxes, will sell hard ground in the panel.

Jacob Zuma, seduced by the nationalist discourse of Gbagbo and his cronies do not want an intervention "imperialist" in Côte d'Ivoire. Hopefully his stay in France allows him to better understand the choice made by Nicolas Sarkozy. The French president is known, has aligned itself with the position of the international community recognizes as elected president Alassane Ouattara.

These two diametrically opposed positions can they give birth to a modus vivendi, a compromise beneficial to Côte d'Ivoire? The Ivorians, they despair of the African Union, whose mediation has been called a "last chance". Caught between two fires (the Commando Invisible Forces and the Defence and Security loyal to Gbagbo tracking down the rebels), they continue to die under murderous bullets of the war machine of both sides as they prepare for the inevitable confrontation .

The martyrdom of the Ivorian people do not seem unduly excite the African Union. It gives time when all the conditions for civil war are being put in place. This extension of the deadline for filing the copy of the panel rather the appearance of a leak of responsibility, a kind of ostrich policy which will affect the little credit that Africans gave to this organization yet.

He is not here to protect x or y. It is more serious about upholding internationally accepted a decision and take steps to ensure that the country will not plunge into anarchy for many Ivorians and the countries of the subregion. In a month, these "binding decisions" announced a hue and cry as the highlight of the mediation panel will perhaps be of no use.

The situation becomes uncontrollable by the day. And it is possible that the balance of power on the ground switches for one or the other camp. It may be hoped that the AU does not have to cut to the quick. This would be his part, a sad proof of cowardice.

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