Peru is staking its future on Sunday amid a climate between calm and expectation. The latest polls that leaked to the foreign press announce a final between Ollanta Humala and Keiko Fujimori, who was qualified to choose between "AIDS and Cancer" by Mario Vargas Llosa. General elections in Peru began with the opening of 103,622 polling stations installed in 15,000 schools around the country who guard 77,000 police and 45,000 members of the Armed Forces.
Starting at 08.00 local time (13.00 GMT) until 16.00 (21.00 GMT), 19.9 million voters go to polls to elect a president, two vice presidents, 130 members of Congress and 15 representatives to the Andean Parliament . On Saturday evening the polls were released the latest figures and the outlook seems to be defined.
All Humala give the first and the second to Fujimori. Support given to the nationalist leader by 28%, Datum gives a figure as high as 31.9%, Catholic University gives 26%. Keiko Fujimori as support is 21.1%, Datum gives 22.3%, and the Catholic University gives 20.1%. Pedro Pablo Kuckzynski (PPK) is third.
The higher number gives it support with 19.9% and the lowest Datum gives 17.3%. Former President Alejandro Toledo anda fourth in all figures between 15 and 16%. The only poll that puts him ahead of PPK is the Catholic University 20.8%. Toledosería the big loser of the day with Castaneda.
The former president was 2 months ago 30% of likely voters and is now behind. "In 2000 Toledo was the most democratic to the dictatorship. Now no longer is seen as an option. Then PPK, Castañeda and he has been dealt a half between 3 ", writes the psychoanalyst and social scientist Jorge Bruce.
In every press conference, one reporter asked other candidates near the center right on what the speech is still accepting Humala in Peru despite the high rates of economic growth. Alan Garcia's government launched a massive propaganda under the slogan 'El Peru Avanza' as if it were the land of a thousand wonders.
But the truth is that in the Andean country still is a poverty of 34%, taking into account what is considered poor who live on $ 3 or less. So the question falls under its own weight. Is not that poor also live with 4 or 5 dollars a day too? For the historian and political analyst Antonio Zapata, the great rise of Humala, who 4 months ago I was in fourth place should be "the failure of the dog in the manger policy of Alan Garcia, who promised change and responsible economic model would include the historically excluded.
" He also promised to raise your taxes mining companies for the money to meet certain social needs, but also failed. There is another explanation for this alleged final anthology and that Zapata should according to "the hatred between the center and the center has led to a very bitter campaign together." PPK virtually stripped of all the votes of the sector A / B (the wealthy) to Toledo that brought down former President of a 30% to 15% today.
Keiko Fujimori maintained his hard core of 20% and that he would move to the second round without winning more votes than they already had. PPK is as if he had played "not wanting" to Fujimori. This also shows a hunger for power and lack of similar policy options dialog. In a conference PPK said Humala's vote is the protest vote, but Humala has done something right to go from 14% to 28 or 30%.
"Your success is the result of a successful campaign conducted with intelligence and a facelift. Center-left democratic forces have not articulated a viable campaign and they left the field open, "says Zapata. "They have lowered the resistance against his candidacy. Is closer than ever to be president.
" According to a survey published Imasen company in February 2011 36.5% of Peruvians considered that the next government should radically change the model and a 37.4% partial changes requested, against 25.1% who really wants continuity . That is, there is a 70% that want change. Not only that, according to a 75% Support of Lima has an income of 2000 soles ($ 750) or less.
According to the psychoanalyst and social scientist Jorge Bruce to blame for the inequality is due to the "frivolity of governments that do not govern, they are limited to merchants do business and think that's enough." In Peru, one could understand that the electoral preferences go according to socio-economic sector, but not necessarily.
In an upper middle class neighborhood of Surco district engineer John Capcha plan to vote for Keiko Fujimori. Elisa Atapoma like a housewife who lives in extreme poverty in Pamplona Alta, a slum of San Juan de Miraflores. "The lower areas are a precarious relationship with democracy. Keiko, who represents the government of his father who miss the disadvantaged.
Political patronage is a way to address visible to these sectors by building schools, giving away pots and kitchens. Authoritarian populism. Meanwhile, the corruption of institutions do not care. " Another survey of realized that support the sector A (5.5% of the population and the richest) earns an average of 12,118 soles (about $ 4,300), while the E sector (13% of the population) wins 660 soles per month (about $ 236).
It can be concluded is that first thing that jumps out is the enormous inequality, as the sector to earn 18 times more than the E (the poorest). This situation according to Bruce, feeling of exclusion "is a direct product of conception of this government, with strong corruption. With the speech that large mining corporations, banks, oil companies will reduce poverty and increase employment.
This triumphalism deepened the sense of exclusion and neglect of the vast base of the pyramid, Sections D and E which includes the pocket of Humala and Keiko. " On Sunday the polls open at 8 AM and close at 4 PM. The Peruvian electoral body (ONPE) reported that first results will be at 8 PM.
Experts recommend not trust the results of exit polls that the candidates are very attached. Peruvians hope will not go through the martyrdom for which she spent in the last municipal elections when they take weeks to publicize the results. 
Starting at 08.00 local time (13.00 GMT) until 16.00 (21.00 GMT), 19.9 million voters go to polls to elect a president, two vice presidents, 130 members of Congress and 15 representatives to the Andean Parliament . On Saturday evening the polls were released the latest figures and the outlook seems to be defined.
All Humala give the first and the second to Fujimori. Support given to the nationalist leader by 28%, Datum gives a figure as high as 31.9%, Catholic University gives 26%. Keiko Fujimori as support is 21.1%, Datum gives 22.3%, and the Catholic University gives 20.1%. Pedro Pablo Kuckzynski (PPK) is third.
The higher number gives it support with 19.9% and the lowest Datum gives 17.3%. Former President Alejandro Toledo anda fourth in all figures between 15 and 16%. The only poll that puts him ahead of PPK is the Catholic University 20.8%. Toledosería the big loser of the day with Castaneda.
The former president was 2 months ago 30% of likely voters and is now behind. "In 2000 Toledo was the most democratic to the dictatorship. Now no longer is seen as an option. Then PPK, Castañeda and he has been dealt a half between 3 ", writes the psychoanalyst and social scientist Jorge Bruce.
In every press conference, one reporter asked other candidates near the center right on what the speech is still accepting Humala in Peru despite the high rates of economic growth. Alan Garcia's government launched a massive propaganda under the slogan 'El Peru Avanza' as if it were the land of a thousand wonders.
But the truth is that in the Andean country still is a poverty of 34%, taking into account what is considered poor who live on $ 3 or less. So the question falls under its own weight. Is not that poor also live with 4 or 5 dollars a day too? For the historian and political analyst Antonio Zapata, the great rise of Humala, who 4 months ago I was in fourth place should be "the failure of the dog in the manger policy of Alan Garcia, who promised change and responsible economic model would include the historically excluded.
" He also promised to raise your taxes mining companies for the money to meet certain social needs, but also failed. There is another explanation for this alleged final anthology and that Zapata should according to "the hatred between the center and the center has led to a very bitter campaign together." PPK virtually stripped of all the votes of the sector A / B (the wealthy) to Toledo that brought down former President of a 30% to 15% today.
Keiko Fujimori maintained his hard core of 20% and that he would move to the second round without winning more votes than they already had. PPK is as if he had played "not wanting" to Fujimori. This also shows a hunger for power and lack of similar policy options dialog. In a conference PPK said Humala's vote is the protest vote, but Humala has done something right to go from 14% to 28 or 30%.
"Your success is the result of a successful campaign conducted with intelligence and a facelift. Center-left democratic forces have not articulated a viable campaign and they left the field open, "says Zapata. "They have lowered the resistance against his candidacy. Is closer than ever to be president.
" According to a survey published Imasen company in February 2011 36.5% of Peruvians considered that the next government should radically change the model and a 37.4% partial changes requested, against 25.1% who really wants continuity . That is, there is a 70% that want change. Not only that, according to a 75% Support of Lima has an income of 2000 soles ($ 750) or less.
According to the psychoanalyst and social scientist Jorge Bruce to blame for the inequality is due to the "frivolity of governments that do not govern, they are limited to merchants do business and think that's enough." In Peru, one could understand that the electoral preferences go according to socio-economic sector, but not necessarily.
In an upper middle class neighborhood of Surco district engineer John Capcha plan to vote for Keiko Fujimori. Elisa Atapoma like a housewife who lives in extreme poverty in Pamplona Alta, a slum of San Juan de Miraflores. "The lower areas are a precarious relationship with democracy. Keiko, who represents the government of his father who miss the disadvantaged.
Political patronage is a way to address visible to these sectors by building schools, giving away pots and kitchens. Authoritarian populism. Meanwhile, the corruption of institutions do not care. " Another survey of realized that support the sector A (5.5% of the population and the richest) earns an average of 12,118 soles (about $ 4,300), while the E sector (13% of the population) wins 660 soles per month (about $ 236).
It can be concluded is that first thing that jumps out is the enormous inequality, as the sector to earn 18 times more than the E (the poorest). This situation according to Bruce, feeling of exclusion "is a direct product of conception of this government, with strong corruption. With the speech that large mining corporations, banks, oil companies will reduce poverty and increase employment.
This triumphalism deepened the sense of exclusion and neglect of the vast base of the pyramid, Sections D and E which includes the pocket of Humala and Keiko. " On Sunday the polls open at 8 AM and close at 4 PM. The Peruvian electoral body (ONPE) reported that first results will be at 8 PM.
Experts recommend not trust the results of exit polls that the candidates are very attached. Peruvians hope will not go through the martyrdom for which she spent in the last municipal elections when they take weeks to publicize the results.
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