Wednesday, April 6, 2011

The dual message of Tomahawk

Who would not rejoice to see the end of the regime of Muammar Gaddafi? Apart from some Iranian and Venezuelan allies, few people. Yet Western intervention initiated March 19 is full of ambiguities and may end in a dismissal. Let the wire. Between March 2, the start of the dictator's reprisal against rebellion, and March 17, the day the Security Council adopted resolution 1973, he spent two weeks allowed Qadhafi to catch his breath and to prepare.

And yet, because of President Sarkozy, who insisted on bringing everyone together at the Elysee Palace and send its planes over the first floor of the Libyan intervention was postponed for two days (to the dismay of British diplomats, according to The New York Times). It has been right in the end to a show of force without risks, since the Libyan army is notoriously under-equipped.

Everything happened as if, under the guise of lofty sentiments, the West had sent several messages at once: • Yes, the West is still able to intervene and help the opponents of dictators who pay into tyranny. That message is destined in particular for despots who are not really friends, like the Syrian Assad or Iran's Ahmadinejad.

In passing, we show the excellence of our weapons, Tomahawk missiles and other aircraft Rafale ... • No, we do not push the fires of freedom everywhere and we intervene only when absolutely necessary. Indeed, early in the "Spring of Peoples", the Pentagon and the White House established a distinction between the republics could fall and monarchies that could save their skin to make concessions they just more or less important.

This helped reassure the kings of Saudi Arabia and Morocco (respectively, best friends in Washington and Paris) and stay away from the ouster of the Yemeni president. Finally, it also gives a clear sign for a country that fits into any category, Algeria. While the Algerian regime in recent years, beating France in the cold, he must now make concessions to the inside and outside.

After three days of intervention, the tasks of resolution 1973 (fly zone, protection of civilians in Benghazi) are fulfilled, and the actors are divided, as shown in our case derived from the Arabic press. Gaddafi, probably a refugee in the desert in the south of his country, is awaiting the result.

Returns allies leave a small chance for diplomacy. This would be the wiser. As stated in No-río, our designer who lives in northern Japan, near the quake would be better to help the Japanese and other peoples in need of continuing a war that became aimless.

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