A strong wind whips past few days the French policy. His name is Marine, Marine Le Pen. And the storm, a presidential election year threatening to cause serious damage. The new president of the far-right National Front (FN), with its image and its old recipe, has managed to bring the political debate to its field and has begun to escalate at a dizzying rate in opinion polls.
Some seasoned analysts, including veteran Alain Duhamel, I had predicted when the daughter of the founder of FN furious, Jean-Marie Le Pen, took over from his father last January: "It's just as hard, but more fearful "he said. Has begun to show. The thrust of the new National Front, which has replaced its old anti-Semitic tics a campaign against immigration and Islam-ably stained-defense of the secular state, has overwhelmed the great parties of the right and left, not knowing how to respond.
"In recent days, the far right down the media and political calendar. It is time this is over, "said yesterday the prime minister, François Fillon, in a tumultuous session of questions to the National Assembly Government. Intended as a rebuke to the left, while an implicit criticism. But it sounded like a confession of impotence.
A controversial and discussed survey, prepared by Harris Interactive institute for Le Parisien, Aujourd'hui en France, this week has been nerve-wracking finish each other. The survey, conducted in two waves, attributed to Marine Le Pen a theoretical voting intentions in the first round of presidential elections between 23% and 24%, which would place suddenly in the head and secure their passage to the second back.
The Socialists, according to this poll, would probably dismounted unless presented as a candidate for director general of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Dominique Strauss-Kahn. In this case, would be the current French president, Nicolas Sarkozy, the removed. The solvency of the survey has been openly questioned.
But it has caused a chill in the spine of the UMP and the PS. The possibility that there may be a new April 21, 2002, when the Socialist Lionel Jospin, the then prime minister, was defeated by Jean-Marie Le Pen has suddenly become a real threat. Any time you can repeat the same problem of fragmentation of the vote.
A risk to the left again. But this time, to the right also. Nicolas Sarkozy's party is the first not to know how to respond to such offensive. The UMP is lurching between the frontage and the purest ism. The French president, very concerned about the votes that you are going to the National Front, and had been endorsed in the presidential elections of 2007 - is the first to confuse the electorate.
One day announces the opening of a dangerous debate about the role of Islam in the republic, spiced with comments like "I do not want minarets in France" - and the other agrees, under pressure from his centrist allies, to give up one of their initiatives more radical: the withdrawal of French nationality who harms a police officer (see attachment).
The game, of course, is subject to the same state of schizophrenia among those who openly criticize the approach to the thesis of FN-like Deputy Bernard Debré, who has expressed his "fear" about the situation, and those who embrace it, as the parliamentary Chantal Brunel, who yesterday called for "returning to the ships" to illegal immigrants from the Maghreb.
Amid all this turmoil, the altitude of Nicolas Sarkozy's popularity continues to decline with stubborn persistence. French confidence in their president is the lowest since his election in 2007-from 22% to 32% depending on the different barometers, "to growing concern of its supporters.
There is, however, the UMP has sole concern. If the enormous wear Sarkozy appears to be feeding on the far right, barely making the PS, despite being the main opposition party, as attested to the polls with similar perseverance. The Socialists, blurred by the absence of a clear candidate and a clear policy proposal, to be unable to seduce the popular electorate.
Just where the FN is fishing. "The blue wave" (La vague bleue marine), as the slogan FN generic for cantonal elections on 20 and 27 March, playing implicitly with the first name of the party leader. can become a tsunami. 
Some seasoned analysts, including veteran Alain Duhamel, I had predicted when the daughter of the founder of FN furious, Jean-Marie Le Pen, took over from his father last January: "It's just as hard, but more fearful "he said. Has begun to show. The thrust of the new National Front, which has replaced its old anti-Semitic tics a campaign against immigration and Islam-ably stained-defense of the secular state, has overwhelmed the great parties of the right and left, not knowing how to respond.
"In recent days, the far right down the media and political calendar. It is time this is over, "said yesterday the prime minister, François Fillon, in a tumultuous session of questions to the National Assembly Government. Intended as a rebuke to the left, while an implicit criticism. But it sounded like a confession of impotence.
A controversial and discussed survey, prepared by Harris Interactive institute for Le Parisien, Aujourd'hui en France, this week has been nerve-wracking finish each other. The survey, conducted in two waves, attributed to Marine Le Pen a theoretical voting intentions in the first round of presidential elections between 23% and 24%, which would place suddenly in the head and secure their passage to the second back.
The Socialists, according to this poll, would probably dismounted unless presented as a candidate for director general of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Dominique Strauss-Kahn. In this case, would be the current French president, Nicolas Sarkozy, the removed. The solvency of the survey has been openly questioned.
But it has caused a chill in the spine of the UMP and the PS. The possibility that there may be a new April 21, 2002, when the Socialist Lionel Jospin, the then prime minister, was defeated by Jean-Marie Le Pen has suddenly become a real threat. Any time you can repeat the same problem of fragmentation of the vote.
A risk to the left again. But this time, to the right also. Nicolas Sarkozy's party is the first not to know how to respond to such offensive. The UMP is lurching between the frontage and the purest ism. The French president, very concerned about the votes that you are going to the National Front, and had been endorsed in the presidential elections of 2007 - is the first to confuse the electorate.
One day announces the opening of a dangerous debate about the role of Islam in the republic, spiced with comments like "I do not want minarets in France" - and the other agrees, under pressure from his centrist allies, to give up one of their initiatives more radical: the withdrawal of French nationality who harms a police officer (see attachment).
The game, of course, is subject to the same state of schizophrenia among those who openly criticize the approach to the thesis of FN-like Deputy Bernard Debré, who has expressed his "fear" about the situation, and those who embrace it, as the parliamentary Chantal Brunel, who yesterday called for "returning to the ships" to illegal immigrants from the Maghreb.
Amid all this turmoil, the altitude of Nicolas Sarkozy's popularity continues to decline with stubborn persistence. French confidence in their president is the lowest since his election in 2007-from 22% to 32% depending on the different barometers, "to growing concern of its supporters.
There is, however, the UMP has sole concern. If the enormous wear Sarkozy appears to be feeding on the far right, barely making the PS, despite being the main opposition party, as attested to the polls with similar perseverance. The Socialists, blurred by the absence of a clear candidate and a clear policy proposal, to be unable to seduce the popular electorate.
Just where the FN is fishing. "The blue wave" (La vague bleue marine), as the slogan FN generic for cantonal elections on 20 and 27 March, playing implicitly with the first name of the party leader. can become a tsunami.
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